Process-based catchment model matches deep-learning accuracy across three continents
A new process-based hydrological model, CaRT+, built on physical laws and refined with AI assistance, achieves accuracy comparable to LSTM neural networks on catchments in Britain, the US, and Australia. With 35 parameters per catchment and no daily neural network, it reaches median Nash-Sutcliffe efficiencies of 0.863 and 0.765 in held-out years on British and US data, and outperforms LSTMs on Australian catchments. The results suggest that catchment-scale laws exist as laws of form, with shared constitutive families and only parameters learned.
Why it matters: This is a concrete, recent research result showing a process-based model matching deep learning accuracy, with implications for hydrology and AI-assisted model refinement.