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MASCAL Trains AI Agents to Share Calibrated Confidence During Collaboration

The paper introduces MASCAL, a reinforcement-learning approach that trains collaborating AI agents to attach calibrated correctness probabilities to their answers. Confidence-aware weighting helps downstream agents learn to use these signals when deciding whether to trust or verify upstream results. Across three collaboration architectures covering Web retrieval and reasoning, the authors report improved accuracy and calibration, with final confidence scores supporting selective answering and targeted rechecking.

AI Brief

The research addresses unreliable handoffs between AI agents with an explicit confidence signal that can inform verification decisions.

arXiv:2610.39927v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Complex information seeking on the Web often requires collecting evidence from multiple documents and reasoning across them, as in multi-hop question answering. Multi-agent systems address such tasks by dividing work among specialized agents, where upstream agents produce intermediate answers and supporting evidence that downstream agents build upon. However, upstream answers vary in correctness, and most systems provide no quantitative signal about it, leaving the downstream agent to judge whether to trust or verify what it receives based solely on the textual evidence. In this paper, we propose MASCAL. Each agent learns to produce a correctness probability for its answer by jointly optimizing task performance and confidence calibration in reinforcement learning; the upstream agent passes this probability at handoff, giving the downstream agent a quantitative basis for its decisions, and the final answer also carries a calibrated probability, quantifying the reliability of the system output. To guide the downstream agent in using this signal during training, we introduce confidence-aware weighting, which increases the learning weight at positions responsive to the upstream probability, so that the agent learns more from decisions where it actively uses the signal. Across three collaboration architectures spanning Web retrieval and reasoning tasks, MASCAL improves task accuracy and calibration quality for both agents, and generalizes to deeper collaboration chains and different model scales. Intervention analysis confirms that upstream confidence affects downstream decision behavior, and the learned final confidence supports selective answering and targeted rechecking.
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