Artifact-to-Capability: Diagnosing Breaks in Capability Formation of Self-Evolving Agents

arXiv:2611.04952v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Self-evolving agents write interaction experience into artifacts and reuse them in later tasks. Most work supports such methods with three proxy signals: artifacts accumulate, behavior changes once they are loaded, and metrics rise. We call this signal-based evaluation. What these signals are meant to indicate, however, has not been defined. To fill this gap, we define capability formation from artifacts as five sequentially dependent properties, two of which form a checkpoint for capability formation, and introduce three-scale diagnosis, which judges these properties at the state, game, and lineage levels. In freestyle Gomoku, Reflexion, Voyager, and DGM evolve with the same base model and all show the three signals, yet each exhibits a distinct capability-formation break. Reflexion shows a legalization gain: its pass rate rises only because more of its moves are legal. Voyager shows a compositional override: components that are sound on their own combine to miss all 20 available one-move wins. DGM shows loss-only drift: after passing the checkpoint, later versions only lose passing states. These counterexamples show that signal-based evaluation cannot determine whether a capability has formed.