Task-Efficient Agent Evaluation Using Cached Traces
This paper introduces a method to estimate an agentic system's benchmark performance from a small number of task executions by leveraging rich execution traces. The approach extracts structured summaries with an LLM and embeds them to create representations that preserve task-related signal while suppressing identity-related noise. On SWE-bench Verified and Terminal-Bench 2.0, combining this geometry-based prediction with an item-response model reduces mean absolute error significantly compared to baselines.